Ten reasons why ... it's officially basketball season!
Posted October 28, 2009
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Each week we'll take a look at 10 reasons why your fantasy team sucks, why you were too drunk at your fantasy draft, etc. Why? How about I write "10 reasons why you ask too many questions"?

A lot of fantasy owners find themselves out of contention at the midway point of the regular season thanks to high-round draft picks that have produced like real Oakland Raiders selections. Miraculously, I find myself 4-3 and just one game out of first place in my big-money league despite major disappointments from three of my first four selections and eight of my first 11 really. If not for Dallas Cowboys WR Miles Austin and Jacksonville Jaguars WR Mike Sims-Walker, my team would really be in the loo. Luckily our transactions only cost $1 apiece and they're unlimited.

I have been reviewing my draft results and I have yet to start my fifth-round pick, Carolina Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart, even once. My seventh round pick, St. Louis WR Donnie Avery, started once and is no longer on my roster, nor is my eighth-round pick Jacksonville Jaguars, WR Torry Holt (dropped for Sims-Walker), or 10th round bust Seattle Seahawks RB Edgerrin James. I also gave the shoo to 11th round pick WR Justin Gage of the Tennessee Titans. Round 15, St. Louis Rams WR Ronald Curry? Really? Come on. What the hell was I thinking back in August? Was my draft cheat sheet from 2005 or 2006?

For a guy who writes about fantasy football for a living, it seemed I was a day late and a dollar short in my picking position and I just missed a lot of guys I had been targeting. But I am still above .500 and I have my head above water. Hopefully you are making up for some unfortunate early-round picks. However, if you've lost a little interest and don't keep at it, here are 10 early fantasy football picks who likely have you thinking about LeBron James, Kobe Bryant and Chris Paul, because it's basketball season, baby!

1. Matt Forte, RB, Chicago: I had the unfortunate drafting position of going fourth (on the second draw of positions, don't get me started on that one, as originally I was set to pick second!) and I mulled over selecting Forte or Carolina Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams with Adrian Peterson, Michael Turner and Maurice Jones-Drew off the board, as expected. The thinking with the Forte pick was a new QB Jay Cutler would make him more dangerous, not take away from his value. Plus, he wasn't going to have to share the carries with another solid back like Williams does with Stewart. Bzzz. Wrong. While Forte hasn't necessarily had to share the load, he hasn't done a whole lot with the lion's share of carries either.

Not just because I have him, but I deem Forte the biggest fantasy football bust. He was projected by nearly everyone on the planet to be a top-six fantasy pick and he has produced more like a middle to late-round draft pick. He is currently 25th in the NFL in rushing yardage. To make matters worse, N.Y. Jets QB Mark Sanchez (2) and rookie RB Shonn Greene (2), New Orleans Saints RB Mike Bell (2) and QB Drew Brees (2), Dallas Cowboys third-string RB Tashard Choice (2) and even Oakland Raiders RB Michael Bush (2) have more rushing TDs than Forte, who has just one. When your first-round selection has the same amount of rushing TDs as Cleveland Browns QB Derek Anderson, it's time to be a little angry.

2. Larry Johnson, RB, Kansas City: Once the top overall pick in fantasy football, L.J. has slid down cheat sheets, but he was still expected to be a solid No. 2 fantasy RB worthy of a third or fourth round selection. In our big-money league, the defending champion picked Johnson in the third, although some tweets and other assorted hateful verbiage has him likely out the door and out of the NFL for a while. When actually on the field doing his job, L.J. was not doing too hot. He averaged just 2.7 yards per carry, which equals that of Sanchez of the Jets and Seahawks reserve and former fantasy standout James. Now he is banned from practicing.

3. Steve Smith, WR, Carolina: If you're entering Week 8 and have as many TD scores as your No. 1 fantsay wideout, then your team definitely has a problem. Hey, it's certainly not all Smitty's fault and he has produced some decent yardage at times, but he is being WAY outperformed by undrafted fantasy free agents like Austin, Sims-Walker, etc. Even Denver Broncos WR Brandon Stokley has a pair of TDs. In fact, you would have been looked at awfully funny on draft day if you selected Seattle Seahawks WR Nate Burleson, Indianapolis Colts rookie WR Austin Collie, Minnesota Vikings WR Sidney Rice, Pittsburgh Steelers rookie WR Mike Wallace or even the 'other' Steve Smith for the New York Giants ahead of Carolina's Smith. However, he is tied with Stokley for 51st place among WRs in fantasy points on the season in a standard scoring league. Yuck.

4. Terrell Owens, WR, Buffalo: Why, oh why did I not believe? I ended up taking Owens as my first WR after going RB-QB-RB in the first three rounds. No one wanted the guy. A fantasy downturn was certain to follow moving to Buffalo with a QB like Trent Edwards, and now Ryan Fitzpatrick. But no one could have forseen how anemic T.O.'s fantasy production would be. Well, I told my buddies who are Buffalo fans that he would have 750 yards and five TDs tops, so perhaps I should have listened to my own jabs. However, even that is optimistic, as he is on pace for just 551 receiving yards and TWO TDs.

5. Kurt Warner, QB, Arizona: While hardly a bust by definition, Warner's production has been a far cry from what we've seen in the past if we look at his past two seasons. In 27 starts and 30 games with the Cards from 2007-08, Warner posted 57 TDs with exactly 8,000 yards. This year, he has just nine TDs through six games which has him on-pace for just 23 TD strikes, his lowest total as a full-time starter since 2000. Perhaps if rookie RB Chris "Beanie" Wells or anyone else emerges as a legitimate running threat, it will take the pressure off of the passing game allowing Warner to reach his lofty projections again.

 

6. Roy E. Williams, WR, Dallas: Everyone wanted to believe, but fantasy owners still remember how bad he was in 2008. It was Williams' turn to shine as the No. 1 WR in Dallas with T.O. out of the picture and he had big-time QB Tony Romo throwing to him. Surely we'll see a re-emergence from Williams. Nope. It's hard to believe Miles Austin, a receiver from that college powerhouse Monmouth (N.J.) no less, has more production (16 receptions, 421 yards, four TDs) in two games -- almost twice that of Williams in five. Take out his 86 yards and TD from Week 1 at league punching bag Tampa Bay and his numbers are ridiculously bad. The guys above I would say to hang onto in all fantasy leagues, but it's time to let Williams be someone else's headache at this point.

 

7. Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay: I wonder if Jennings and Williams worked out together during the offseason. Actually, that's not fair, as Jennings has 356 yards in six games. But he treats the end zone like he is a member of the Cleveland Browns, hitting the pylons just once this season. Hey, he is leaving Carolina's Smith in the dust, but that's not saying much. After 1,292 yards and nine TDs in 2008, Jennings looked like a bona fide No. 1 fantasy WR. He is on pace for 946 yards, similar to his 2007 production. However, he is projected for just one more TD at this rate, as opposed to the 21 he had over the past two years.

8. Willie Parker, RB, Pittsburgh: Fast Willie isn't so fast anymore. To be fair, a turf toe has severely hampered him. However, second-year RB Rashard Mendenhall has finally gotten it right, seized the No. 1 job and head coach Mike Tomlin has said he is the feature back for the time being. If you landed Parker in the middle rounds, it might be time to cut him or trade him for some help. Unfortunately, he's about as valuable as a JaMarcus Russell rookie football card at this point.

9. Eddie Royal, WR, Denver: Royal exploded onto the scene last year in Week 1 at Oakland, posting 148 yards and a TD on nine receptions in place of a suspended Brandon Marshall. This season, Royal has 18 catches for that same 148 yards with no trips to the end zone through six games. That's not good. If you are in a fantasy league which rewards return yardage, then he is still your friend. If not, he should be cut loose by now. Even Cleveland Browns TE Robert Royal has found the end zone. Eddie has the same amount of receiving TDs as the Kansas City Royals.

10. Brian Westbrook, RB, Philadelphia: When he is on, he is on. Westbrook can be one of the best fantasy RBs around when he is 100 percent healthy. Unfortunately, the guy is made out of tinsel and he can't seem to stay on the field for more than a handful of games in a row. Hopefully, you were smart and landed rookie RB LeSean McCoy as a handcuff for Westy due to his propensity for injury. He has already missed time due to an ankle injury and he'll likely be sidelined again due to a concussion. He runs hard and plays in the tough NFC East where everyone gets banged up, but I've never had Westbrook on my team once because I hate having to hold my breath for three hours every Sunday or Monday.

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